Probability model of changing of a Student’s emotional condition

Author/s:

A. MURADYAN, Lt. Colonel (Ret.), PhD in Technical Sciences, Lecturer, Lomonosov Moscow State University Yerevan Branch 

SUMMARY

The paper discusses the possibility of modeling of psychic processes regulating the internal state and behaviour of a student. The modeling is carried out on the basis of normal probability distribution of his emotional condition changes while making a number of limitations and assumptions. The human behaviour in a model is concerned with the learning of the neural nets, representing his brain, with the process of thinking and inductive reasoning getting subordinated to his mental condition. The author assumes that in the process of a swift-flowing emergency situation, when a vast amount of input information initiates a so-called “combinatorial explosion” owing to the examining and checking of a number of hypotheses, the timely analysis of all data by the brain appears to be practically impossible due to the physical limitations in the pulse communication rate between neurons. Thus, in order to ensure the necessary speed of response a human behavior is regulated by the previously developed and fixed structures of the neural subnetworks. This results in the fact that in order to develop a timely response to the dynamic event the brain can ignore a significant part of the input information and augment it on the basis of formerly developed subjective judgments, which are constantly modified in reliance on the “experience” being acquired and anchored in the corresponding neural subnetworks of the brain. However, these subjective judgments can be distorted, be of chronic nature and based in the form of “foul” difficult-to-manage neural subnetworks of the brain. The emergence of a conflict situation is directly contingent on the existence of such “foul” neural subnetworks, while their appearance is modeled by means of basic parameter readjustment of normal distribution of a human’s emotional condition changes.